川金丝猴会根据预期效用决定采取赌博策略吗?
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作者单位:

1.南京大学生命科学学院动物行为与保护实验室 南京 210023;2.南京大学-南京红山森林动物园动物行为与认知联合实验室,南京红山森林动物园 南京 210028

作者简介:

潘立,男,硕士研究生;研究方向:动物行为学;E-mail:mg2030z01@smail.nju.edu.cn。

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中图分类号:

Q958

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(No. 32471564),江苏省自然科学基金项目(No. BK20211151);


Do Golden Snub-nosed Monkeys adopt gambling strategies based on expected utility?
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Affiliation:

1.Lab of Animal Behavior & Conservation, School of Life Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023; 2.Lab of Animal Behavior & Cognition, Nanjing Hongshan Forest Zoo, Nanjing 210028, China

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    摘要:

    本研究旨在探究川金丝猴(Rhinopithecus roxellana)在面对风险和不确定性时的决策机制。通过设计赌博任务,考察了3只雄性青少年川金丝猴个体在不同预期收益条件下的选择行为。本研究让川金丝猴在以1/3概率提供大额奖励的“赌博”选项和稳定提供小额奖励的“非赌博”选项之间做出选择,通过调整赌博选项的预期收益并统计被试个体的选择倾向,判断被试个体能否正确认识预期收益。结果显示,当赌博选项的预期收益较小时,被试均不选择赌博选项;当赌博选项的预期收益较大时,被试均将选择赌博选项。当赌博选项和非赌博选项的预期收益相等时,被试个体表现出不同的偏好,这表明即使在预期收益相同的情况下,个体间的风险偏好也存在差异。本研究结果支持预期效用假说,即川金丝猴很可能会根据预期效用做出最优选择,但并不支持损失厌恶假说。这一发现有助于我们更深入地理解非人类灵长类动物的决策行为,并为川金丝猴的保护策略提供科学依据。

    Abstract:

    [Objectives] This study delved into the decision-making processes of Golden Snub-nosed Monkeys (Rhinopithecus roxellana) when being confronted with risks and uncertainties. [Methods] We designed a gambling task to examine the choices of three male adolescent monkeys under varying conditions of expected rewards. The subjects were housed in the Asian Primate House of Nanjing Hongshan Forest Zoo. Among the Golden Snub-nosed Monkeys living in the house, three male adolescent monkeys were selected as the experimental subjects, and a self-designed trolley pick-up box was used as the experimental setup, with the left and right positions of the pick-up box as the cues, and small pieces of dried red jujubes as the rewards. The whole experiment was filmed by the video of a portable law enforcement recorder, and it was carried out for a total of 69 experimental days. The experiment presented a “non-gambling” option offering a consistent small reward and a “gambling” option that occasionally delivered a large reward, thereby manipulating the expected value of the gambling option to assess the subjects’ understanding of expected rewards. We employed the Binomial test to assess whether the subjects’ preferences for gambling and non-gambling options were significant or not. IBM SPSS Statistics 25.0 was used for data analysis. [Results] Our findings revealed that the monkeys refrained from choosing the gambling option when its expected value was low and they opted for the gambling option when the expected value was high. Interestingly, when the expected values of both options were equal, the subjects displayed diverse preferences:two preferred the gambling option with occasional large rewards, and the other one preferred the option with stable payoffs, indicating individual variations in risk propensity even under equivalent expected outcomes. Table 2 and Fig. 3 show the choices made by the three subjects during the five phases and 69 experimental days throughout the experiment. [Conclusion] The results align with the expected utility hypothesis, suggesting that the monkeys make choices to maximize their expected utility, contradicting the loss aversion hypothesis. The findings enhance our comprehension of decision-making behaviors in non-human primates and offers scientific insights for the conservation and behavioral management of Golden Snub-nosed Monkeys.

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潘立,洪立同,孙艳霞,李忠秋. 2026.川金丝猴会根据预期效用决定采取赌博策略吗?. 动物学杂志, 61(3): 325-335.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-09-26
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-17
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