雅鲁藏布江流域马麝适生区分布及活动节律
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1.中国科学院动物研究所动物进化与系统学院重点实验室 北京 100101;2.中国科学院大学 北京 100049;3.西藏自治区林业调查规划研究院 拉萨 850000;4.四川大学生命科学学院,生物资源与生态环境教育部重点实验室 成都 610065;5.河北大学生命科学学院 保定 071002;6.西藏农牧学院资源与环境学院 林芝 860000;7.安徽农业大学动物科技学院 合肥 230036;8.西华师范大学生命科学学院 南充 637009

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雅鲁藏布江流域典型大中型哺乳动物分布数量、活动规律的动态监测(No. 54000022T000000071200,54000024210200021038);


Distribution patterns of suitable habitats and activity rhythms of the Alpine Musk Deer in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China
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1.Key Laboratory of Zoological Systematics and Evolution, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101; 2.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049; 3.Forestry Inventory and Planning Institute of Xizang Autonomous Region, Lhasa 850000; 4.Key Laboratory of Bio-Resource and Eco-Environment of Ministry of Education, College of Life Sciences, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065; 5.College of Life Sciences, Hebei University, Baoding 071002;6.College of Resources and Environment, Xizang Agricultural & Animal Husbandry University, Linzhi 860000; 7.College of Animal Science and Technology, Anhui Agricultural University, Hefei 230036;8.College of Life Science, China West Normal University, Nanchong 637009, China

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    摘要:

    马麝(Moschus chrysogaster),属于鲸偶蹄目(Cetartiodactyla)麝科(Moschidae)麝属,是中国特有物种,被列为国家一级重点保护野生动物,主要分布于我国青藏高原及周边地区。雅鲁藏布江流域是马麝的重要分布区之一,了解该区域马麝的栖息地适宜性与活动节律,有助于促进马麝种群的科学保护及栖息地有效管理。本研究基于雅鲁藏布江流域资源调查及红外相机监测获得的51个马麝分布位点信息,结合地形和气候22个环境因子构建MaxEnt模型,对马麝在雅鲁藏布江流域栖息地选择的影响因子以及适宜栖息地分布现状进行了分析,并对未来不同气候情境下马麝的适生区分布进行预测,解析其栖息地变化趋势。此外,基于红外相机数据分析了马麝的活动节律。结果表明:(1)MaxEnt模型的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)值为0.926,表明预测结果的精度较高;(2)影响雅鲁藏布江流域马麝栖息地选择的主要环境因子是最冷季度降水量(Bio19)和坡向(Aspect),总贡献率为89.3%;(3)马麝在当前气候条件下适宜栖息地主要分布在日喀则市东部、拉萨市中南部、山南市西北部以及林芝市西部区域,高适宜栖息地分布较为集中,主要在拉萨市、日喀则市和山南市交界区域;(4)在未来不同气候情境下,随着全球气温升高,马麝的高适宜栖息地面积减少并且分布呈现更加集中的趋势;(5)马麝的日活动节律呈现明显的晨昏型活动模式。本研究探讨了雅鲁藏布江流域马麝物种分布和活动节律,可以加深对该地区马麝种群动态的了解,并为今后该物种的保护和栖息地管理提供理论依据。

    Abstract:

    [Objectives] The Alpine Musk Deer (Moschus chrysogaster), belonging to the family Moschidae of the order Cetartiodactyla, is endemic to China and classified as a first-class animal under national protection. It primarily inhabits the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and surrounding regions of China. The Yarlung Zangbo River Basin represents one of the critical distribution areas for the Alpine Musk Deer. Studying the habitat suitability and activity rhythms of this species in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin can promote the conservation of Alpine Musk Deer populations and facilitate effective habitat management. [Methods] By resource surveys and infrared camera monitoring in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, we obtained a total of 51 distribution sites of the Alpine Musk Deer. Then, employing 22 environmental factors, including topography and climate, we constructed a MaxEnt model in MaxEnt 3.4.4 to assess the factors influencing the habitat selection of this species and map the current distribution of suitable habitats in Yarlung Zangbo River Basin with ArcGIS 10.8. Furthermore, we predicted the future distribution of suitable habitats under different climate scenarios to analyze the potential habitat change trends. Finally, we utilized infrared camera data to examine the species’ daily activity patterns with R 4.4.3. [Results] (1) The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the MaxEnt model was 0.926, indicating high accuracy of the prediction (Fig. 2). (2) The main environmental factors affecting the habitat selection of the Alpine Musk Deer in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin were the precipitation of coldest quarter (Bio19) and aspect, with a total contribution of 89.3% (Fig. 3, Table 2). (3) Under current climatic conditions, the suitable habitats of the Alpine Musk Deer are mainly distributed in eastern Xigaze, central and southern Lhasa, northwestern Shannan, and western Nyingchi. The high suitable habitats are predominantly distributed along the border regions of Lhasa, Xigaze, and Shannan (Fig. 6). (4) The prediction under different future climate scenarios shows a reduction in high suitable habitat areas with the increase in temperature, alongside a more concentrated distribution pattern (Fig. 5). (5) The daily activity rhythm of the Alpine Musk Deer exhibited a distinct crepuscular pattern (Fig. 7). [Conclusion] The study can deepen our understanding of population dynamics of the species in the region and provide a theoretical basis for its conservation and habitat management in the future.

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吕永磊,刘郢,崔雅倩,王伟波,周薇,王渊,程继龙,夏霖,葛德燕,徐进博,储士杰,曹蕾,扈晶晶,普布顿珠,温知新,杨奇森. 2026.雅鲁藏布江流域马麝适生区分布及活动节律. 动物学杂志, 61(1): 13-27.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-21
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-02-13
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